Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 0.035681 0.041787 0.048113 0.055119 0.062627 0.070398 0.079020
2025-10-26 0.025549 0.034195 0.043725 0.054831 0.067261 0.080609 0.095898
2025-11-02 0.019665 0.029781 0.041550 0.055833 0.072342 0.090526 0.111798
2025-11-09 0.015074 0.025924 0.039231 0.055979 0.075869 0.098229 0.124816
2025-11-16 0.010712 0.021513 0.035586 0.053991 0.076444 0.102184 0.133253
2025-11-23 0.007432 0.017877 0.032406 0.052141 0.076830 0.105630 0.140851
2025-11-30 0.005781 0.016260 0.031628 0.053099 0.080442 0.112721 0.152543
2025-12-07 0.004571 0.015069 0.031260 0.054451 0.084436 0.120189 0.164612
2025-12-14 0.003786 0.014431 0.031572 0.056621 0.089393 0.128767 0.177952
2025-12-21 0.002850 0.013252 0.030947 0.057436 0.092570 0.135148 0.188659
2025-12-28 0.002784 0.013856 0.033031 0.061950 0.100466 0.147263 0.206183
2026-01-04 0.001712 0.011862 0.030896 0.060514 0.100637 0.149897 0.212363
2026-01-11 0.001176 0.010964 0.030503 0.061601 0.104227 0.156931 0.224085
2026-01-18 0.000669 0.009788 0.029534 0.061815 0.106669 0.162572 0.234187
2026-01-25 0.000383 0.009069 0.029261 0.062990 0.110352 0.169742 0.246132
2026-02-01 0.000143 0.008074 0.028365 0.063168 0.112652 0.175147 0.255909
2026-02-08 0.000001 0.006463 0.026054 0.061053 0.111744 0.176427 0.260577
2026-02-15 NaN 0.005093 0.023938 0.059079 0.110920 0.177736 0.265217
2026-02-22 NaN 0.004663 0.023748 0.060103 0.114206 0.184264 0.276263
2026-03-01 NaN 0.004373 0.023832 0.061545 0.118065 0.191522 0.288208
2026-03-08 NaN 0.004316 0.024451 0.063858 0.123143 0.200351 0.302102
2026-03-15 NaN 0.003927 0.024207 0.064726 0.126175 0.206535 0.312715
2026-03-22 NaN 0.004463 0.026321 0.069526 0.134780 0.219932 0.332294